Osnabrück U19 3-4 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.04
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
21%
+14.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.6pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück U19 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück U19
3-4
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
1.30 xG 3.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 6
182 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 nicked a narrow win over Osnabrück U19 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RB Leipzig U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osnabrück U19 had 40% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 60%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.30 to 3.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RB Leipzig U19's control.

What was the final score of Osnabrück U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Osnabrück U19 3-4 RB Leipzig U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück U19 36%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig U19 46%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig U19), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✓ Over 2.5
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