VfB Stuttgart U19 1-2 Mainz 05 U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

VfB Stuttgart U19
1-2 HT 1-0
Mainz 05 U19
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - U19 Bundesliga – 2023/2024

VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VfB Stuttgart U19 v Mainz 05 U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
5.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.98
+115% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Mainz 05 U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 U19 squeezed past VfB Stuttgart U19 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Stuttgart U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

VfB Stuttgart U19 1-2 Mainz 05 U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Stuttgart U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VfB Stuttgart U19 46%, draw 26%, Mainz 05 U19 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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