Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Moron Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Rafaela v Deportivo Moron — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Moron Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Rafaela
ARJPBN
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Rafaela
ARJPBN
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Rafaela
ARJPBN
3-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Moron
ARJPBN
Atletico Rafaela 1-2 Deportivo Moron — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Moron edged past Atletico Rafaela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Rafaela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Rafaela had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Moron's 41%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 0.75 for Deportivo Moron.
What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Moron?
Atletico Rafaela 1-2 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Moron?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 43%, draw 30%, Deportivo Moron 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.