Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -28%
1.16/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.51
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Almagro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
24.06.2023 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
19.02.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
23.03.2022 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
09.10.2021 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
15.10.2019 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
0-0
AWAY Almagro
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano and Almagro fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores De Belgrano at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Defensores De Belgrano had 47% of the ball to Almagro's 53%, shots finished 3-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.83 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Almagro?

Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 51%, draw 26%, Almagro 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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