San Miguel 1-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.3pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
0.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.80
-55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Miguel
1-1
AWAY San Martin San Juan
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and San Martin San Juan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, San Miguel had 53% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 47%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs San Martin San Juan?

San Miguel 1-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 34%, draw 33%, San Martin San Juan 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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