Gold Coast United 3-0 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.87
-32% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.94 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
239 Passes 406
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
21.05.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
11.06.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
26.03.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
17.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 1-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
28.07.2020 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United swept aside Brisbane City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Gold Coast United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.50 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Brisbane City?

Gold Coast United 3-0 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 35%, draw 27%, Brisbane City 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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