Manly United 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

Manly United
1-1 HT 1-1
Rockdale Ilinden
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manly United v Rockdale Ilinden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.57/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.65
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.6 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-2 HT 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
19.02.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
31.07.2022 Manly United Manly United 3-1 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
15.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-1 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
04.06.2021 Manly United Manly United 3-0 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
21.03.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 HT 1-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United and Rockdale Ilinden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manly United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Manly United and 1.00 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Manly United 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Manly United 38%, draw 24%, Rockdale Ilinden 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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