Marconi Stallions 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

Marconi Stallions
1-2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marconi Stallions v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.53/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.57
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.7 Crosses 21.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marconi Stallions
2W-3D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
178 Passes 281
58% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 1-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
05.03.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-0 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
24.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 1-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
07.05.2022 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 4-1 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
11.04.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
31.07.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Marconi Stallions 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day APIA Leichhardt Tigers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marconi Stallions had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marconi Stallions and 1.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Marconi Stallions 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions 39%, draw 25%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marconi Stallions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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