Peninsula Power 1-0 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+13.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 69%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.88
-3% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 324
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
30.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
29.04.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-4 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
04.09.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
17.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
16.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power nicked a narrow win over Gold Coast Knights 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gold Coast Knights at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.33 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast Knights?

Peninsula Power 1-0 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 29%, draw 23%, Gold Coast Knights 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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