Sydney (K) 3-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Western United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.64 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
381 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.01.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
3-1
AWAY Western United (K)
1.55 xG 0.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
248 Passes 290
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) saw off Western United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 47% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)?

Sydney (K) 3-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 51%, draw 28%, Western United (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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