Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.07
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
11.8
X/1
16%
5.51
X/2
15%
7.07
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
12%
4.06
2/X
6%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -6%
1.45/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.04
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
22.7 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.32 xG 1.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
316 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
22.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
18.03.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
15.10.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
10.04.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 6-1 HT 3-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
2-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.43 xG 1.91
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
265 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 40
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory had 39% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 61%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 1.43 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Perth Glory and 2.67 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 42%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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