Coxim MS 1-1 Kosta Rika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense, 9 Mar 2024

Coxim MS
1-1
Kosta Rika
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense – 2024

Coxim MS vs Kosta Rika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.28
Away Pick
62%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
51%
4-5
16%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Kosta Rika win — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
62%
Away Win
74%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coxim MS v Kosta Rika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coxim MS The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosta Rika The Market 79%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.73
+4% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +48%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
212 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Coxim MS vs Kosta Rika Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coxim MS
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kosta Rika
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-1 Coxim MS Coxim MS BRSMAT
POST-MATCH Coxim MS vs Kosta Rika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coxim MS and Kosta Rika shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kosta Rika at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Coxim MS vs Kosta Rika?

Coxim MS 1-1 Kosta Rika in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coxim MS vs Kosta Rika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Coxim MS 15%, draw 23%, Kosta Rika 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kosta Rika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kosta Rika) ✓ Under 2.5
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