ES Setif 1-1 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 29%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.85
+61% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.01.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 2-1 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
31.03.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
02.10.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
24.12.2021 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
01.07.2021 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
22.01.2021 CS Constantine CS Constantine 0-1 HT 0-1 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif and CS Constantine couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ES Setif at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Setif had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Setif and 0.50 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

ES Setif 1-1 CS Constantine in the Algeria - National Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 49%, draw 26%, CS Constantine 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Setif), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYRK More Algeria - National Cup
9 Mar 2024
16:30 WA Tlemcen vs JS Saoura Analysis →
16:30 Oued Akbou vs CR Mechria Analysis →
16:30 Hydra AC vs JS Djijel Analysis →
16:30 US Chaouia vs RC Bougaa Analysis →
17:00 CR Zaouia vs MC Alger Analysis →
17:00 CA Batna vs Annaba Analysis →