Linas-Montlhery 2-3 Sainte-Genevieve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
30%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
17%
+16.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
59%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linas-Montlhery The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sainte-Genevieve The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
264 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Linas-Montlhery vs Sainte-Genevieve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sainte-Genevieve edged past Linas-Montlhery 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sainte-Genevieve as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Linas-Montlhery vs Sainte-Genevieve?

Linas-Montlhery 2-3 Sainte-Genevieve in the France - National League 3 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linas-Montlhery vs Sainte-Genevieve?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sainte-Genevieve win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Linas-Montlhery 33%, draw 23%, Sainte-Genevieve 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sainte-Genevieve) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sainte-Genevieve) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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