Tourangeau 4-1 Bourges Foot 18 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tourangeau The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourges Foot 18 II The Market 37%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tourangeau vs Bourges Foot 18 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tourangeau cruised past Bourges Foot 18 II 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tourangeau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Tourangeau vs Bourges Foot 18 II?

Tourangeau 4-1 Bourges Foot 18 II in the France - National League 3 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tourangeau vs Bourges Foot 18 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tourangeau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tourangeau 43%, draw 26%, Bourges Foot 18 II 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tourangeau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tourangeau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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