Daejeon Korail 3-1 Dangjin Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dangjin Citizen EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.43/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-12% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dangjin Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.10.2022 Dangjin Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
03.06.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 3-1 HT 0-0 Dangjin Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail beat Dangjin Citizen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daejeon Korail as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 0.50 for Dangjin Citizen.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen?

Daejeon Korail 3-1 Dangjin Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 47%, draw 26%, Dangjin Citizen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✗ BTTS No
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