Paju Citizen 2-1 Namyangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Namyangju EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Namyangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen squeezed past Namyangju 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Namyangju?

Paju Citizen 2-1 Namyangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Namyangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 54%, draw 24%, Namyangju 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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