FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-3
HT 1-1
Toluca
MEK
FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez and Toluca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Toluca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 43% of the ball to Toluca's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.67 for Toluca.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Toluca?
FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 33%, draw 26%, Toluca 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 went the other way.