FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Juarez v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez and Toluca finished all square at 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Toluca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Toluca saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for FC Juarez against 1.67 for Toluca.
FC Juarez vs Toluca Result & Final Score
FC Juarez 1 - 1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 25%, draw 26%, Toluca 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 went the other way.