Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Necaxa
MEK
2-3
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
1-2
HT 1-2
Necaxa
MEK
4-2
HT 3-1
Atletico San Luis
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Necaxa
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
Necaxa 3-1 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa beat Atletico San Luis 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Necaxa had 32% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 68%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.67 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis?
Necaxa 3-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 43%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.