Skofja Loka 1-4 Dren Vrhnika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 3.SNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
31%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skofja Loka The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dren Vrhnika The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skofja Loka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dren Vrhnika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.10.2023 Dren Vrhnika Dren Vrhnika 3-0 HT 0-0 Skofja Loka SLO3
POST-MATCH Skofja Loka vs Dren Vrhnika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dren Vrhnika cruised past Skofja Loka 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Skofja Loka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Skofja Loka vs Dren Vrhnika?

Skofja Loka 1-4 Dren Vrhnika in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skofja Loka vs Dren Vrhnika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skofja Loka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Skofja Loka 41%, draw 28%, Dren Vrhnika 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skofja Loka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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