09/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Zavrc vs Sampion Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
55%
Home Win
74%
22%
Draw
16%
23%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zavrc v Sampion Celje — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zavrc
The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sampion Celje
The Market 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
483 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
198 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zavrc vs Sampion Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sampion Celje nicked a narrow win over Zavrc 2-1 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Zavrc carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Zavrc vs Sampion Celje?
Zavrc 1-2 Sampion Celje in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zavrc vs Sampion Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zavrc win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zavrc 55%, draw 22%, Sampion Celje 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zavrc) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Zavrc)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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