Hradec Kralove 1-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 26%
+20% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.45
+22% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.0 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Karvina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.33 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 299
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
31.03.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.10.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.11.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
31.07.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
30.04.2017 Karvina Karvina 4-2 HT 2-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-1
AWAY Karvina
2.02 xG 0.46
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
386 Passes 114
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
49 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove and Karvina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hradec Kralove at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 72% of the ball to Karvina's 28%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.02 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Hradec Kralove 1-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 48%, draw 27%, Karvina 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hradec Kralove), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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