Banik Ostrava 2-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
6.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.40
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.2 Crosses 25.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
387 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.05.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
17.02.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-3 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
02.09.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.10.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
2-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.42 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
317 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava edged past Mlada Boleslav 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 50% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 50%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.42 to 1.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Banik Ostrava's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Banik Ostrava and 0.67 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?

Banik Ostrava 2-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 56%, draw 21%, Mlada Boleslav 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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