Thun vs Stade Ouchy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Stade Ouchy — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Stade Ouchy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Thun
İSV2
1-1
HT 0-1
Stade Ouchy
İSV2
0-2
HT 0-0
Stade Ouchy
İSV2
2-2
HT 1-2
Thun
İSV2
Thun 2-1 Stade Ouchy — Actual Match Statistics
Thun squeezed past Stade Ouchy 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Thun had 54% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 46%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thun and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.
What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Ouchy?
Thun 2-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Ouchy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thun 51%, draw 25%, Stade Ouchy 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.