Erzgebirge Aue vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities
Erzgebirge Aue v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue squeezed past Viktoria Köln 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Erzgebirge Aue had 35% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 65%, shots finished 9-4.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.80 for Viktoria Köln.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Viktoria Köln Result & Final Score
Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Viktoria Köln Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 46%, draw 26%, Viktoria Köln 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.