San Miguel 2-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.67/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.46
+25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
294 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alvarado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.09.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
28.04.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel saw off Alvarado 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Miguel and 0.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Alvarado?

San Miguel 2-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 52%, draw 24%, Alvarado 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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