San Miguel 2-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 27%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.78/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.20
+44% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alvarado
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel beat Alvarado 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Alvarado?

San Miguel 2-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 51%, draw 29%, Alvarado 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
14 Sep 2024
02:05 Almirante Brown vs Almagro Analysis →
03:00 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Temperley Analysis →
21:00 Talleres Remedios vs Patronato Analysis →
21:30 Atletico Aldosivi vs Deportivo Moron Analysis →