Almirante Brown 1-2 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-4.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+4.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
0.98/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.44
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Almagro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
27.04.2024 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
19.06.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
17.07.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
26.07.2015 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
17.03.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 3-1 HT 3-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro edged past Almirante Brown 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Almagro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almirante Brown and 0.50 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Almagro?

Almirante Brown 1-2 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 37%, draw 28%, Almagro 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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