Atletico Aldosivi 3-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.53
No
70%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
36%
-5.7pp
70%
BTTS No
64%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.17/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.05
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.04.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Moron 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Aldosivi as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (70%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Deportivo Moron?

Atletico Aldosivi 3-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 50%, draw 30%, Deportivo Moron 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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