Deportivo Moron 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.23/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.32
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over Atletico Aldosivi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Moron found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Deportivo Moron 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 33%, draw 32%, Atletico Aldosivi 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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