Guillermo Brown 2-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.8pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.89/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.07
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown beat Arsenal Sarandi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Guillermo Brown made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Guillermo Brown 2-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guillermo Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 34%, draw 33%, Arsenal Sarandi 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guillermo Brown), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guillermo Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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