Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.23/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.66
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
0W-3D-2L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
31.07.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
25.03.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
14.05.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
02.11.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
05.07.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day San Martin Tucuman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 0.80 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin Tucuman?

Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 34%, draw 33%, San Martin Tucuman 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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