Nueva Chicago 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

Nueva Chicago
1-0 HT 1-0
Club Atletico Mitre
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Mitre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Club Atletico Mitre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.26/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.15
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Mitre Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2022 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
25.07.2021 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
13.03.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
14.12.2020 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-1 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Mitre 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Mitre led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.00 for Club Atletico Mitre.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Nueva Chicago 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 42%, draw 32%, Club Atletico Mitre 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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