Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
28.07.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
23.09.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
06.05.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
26.04.2014 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano saw off Atletico Atlanta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.75 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Atlanta?

Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 42%, draw 31%, Atletico Atlanta 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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