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Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) squeezed past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 56% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.62 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 0.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 50%, draw 24%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.