AGF Aarhus 1-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
9%
3.97
X/2
5%
10.7
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
11%
9.2
2/X
5%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -24%
1.89/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.95
+3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
25.0 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Viborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
336 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.11.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus HAZ
07.05.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
09.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1-1
AWAY Viborg
2.65 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
426 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 11
47 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus and Viborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 60% of the ball to Viborg's 40%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.65 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.50 for Viborg.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

AGF Aarhus 1-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 51%, draw 28%, Viborg 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
9 Mar 2025
16:00 Silkeborg IF vs Lyngby Analysis →
16:00 Aalborg vs Midtjylland Analysis →
20:00 Kopenhag vs SonderjyskE Analysis →