Lee Man 1-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.03
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
27.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
07.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.02.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.12.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 0-2 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
03.09.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
1-1
AWAY Southern District RSA
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man and Southern District RSA shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Lee Man carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lee Man had 58% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 42%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lee Man and 1.33 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Southern District RSA?

Lee Man 1-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 57%, draw 24%, Southern District RSA 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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