Southern District RSA 1-2 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
46%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.1pp
46%
Away Win
64%
-17.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 69%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.33/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.77
-68% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
07.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.02.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.12.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 0-2 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
03.09.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
23.04.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
1-2
AWAY Lee Man
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man squeezed past Southern District RSA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 42% of the ball to Lee Man's 58%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.50 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Southern District RSA 1-2 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 24%, draw 30%, Lee Man 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
31 Aug 2024
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