North District 2-2 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
9%
+9.7pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.2pp
59%
Away Win
78%
-18.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.96/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.56/0.55
+53% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kitchee
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
21.02.2024 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
03.12.2023 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
2-2
AWAY Kitchee
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North District vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District and Kitchee shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kitchee carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, North District had 35% of the ball to Kitchee's 65%, shots finished 11-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for North District and 2.67 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of North District vs Kitchee?

North District 2-2 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split North District 18%, draw 23%, Kitchee 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2024
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