Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 20.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
102 Passes 109
42% Pass Accuracy 38%
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
25.02.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 HT 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
17.09.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
26.03.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
13.11.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
10.04.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
273 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Matsumoto Yamaga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 48% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 52%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.33 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%, draw 29%, Matsumoto Yamaga 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ BTTS Yes
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