Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.59/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.35
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.1 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 HT 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
17.09.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
26.03.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
13.11.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
10.04.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
109 Passes 102
38% Pass Accuracy 42%
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 51% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 49%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.60 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 38%, draw 28%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ BTTS Yes
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