Nara Club 1-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.14/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.21
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.3 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fukushima United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
14.10.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
01.07.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-5 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
1-1
AWAY Fukushima United
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
75 Passes 106
28% Pass Accuracy 37%
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club and Fukushima United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fukushima United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nara Club had 49% of the ball to Fukushima United's 51%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Fukushima United?

Nara Club 1-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 30%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fukushima United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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