Omiya Ardija 5-4 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
2.85/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.69
+73% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-3 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
5-4
AWAY Gainare Tottori
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
376 Passes 559
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Gainare Tottori 5-4. Half-time: 4-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 41% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 59%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Gainare Tottori?

Omiya Ardija 5-4 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 54%, draw 23%, Gainare Tottori 22%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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