Sagamihara 2-2 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.03/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 23.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.09.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.05.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
02.10.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
29.05.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
27.09.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 1-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
2-2
AWAY Kataller Toyama
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and Kataller Toyama shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 41% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 59%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama?

Sagamihara 2-2 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 37%, draw 27%, Kataller Toyama 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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