Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
+2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 11.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
16.09.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
30.07.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
10.04.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
199 Passes 283
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 41% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 59%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 36%, draw 28%, Azul Claro Numazu 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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