Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.59/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
30.07.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
10.04.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu squeezed past Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 52% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 0.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 42%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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