Omiya Ardija 2-0 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Mar 2024

Omiya Ardija
2-0 HT 1-0
Nara Club
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2024

Omiya Ardija vs Nara Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija v Nara Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.35
-29% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Omiya Ardija 2-0 Nara Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-0
AWAY Nara Club
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija got the better of Nara Club 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 46% of the ball to Nara Club's 54%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Nara Club?

Omiya Ardija 2-0 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 39%, draw 27%, Nara Club 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ BTTS Yes
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