Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.78/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.05
-41% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 2-3 HT 2-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
09.04.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 4-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
30.07.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
27.03.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 3-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
03.10.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
14.03.2021 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
66% Ball Possession 34%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kamatamare Sanuki vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamatamare Sanuki and Parceiro Nagano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kamatamare Sanuki had 66% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 34%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kamatamare Sanuki and 2.17 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Kamatamare Sanuki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kamatamare Sanuki win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kamatamare Sanuki 36%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki) ✓ Under 2.5
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