Fukushima United 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2024

Fukushima United
2-1 HT 1-0
Nara Club
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2024

Fukushima United vs Nara Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fukushima United v Nara Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.52
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fukushima United vs Nara Club Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
01.07.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-5 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3

Fukushima United 2-1 Nara Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United edged past Nara Club 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fukushima United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fukushima United had 51% of the ball to Nara Club's 49%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fukushima United and 3.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Nara Club?

Fukushima United 2-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 39%, draw 30%, Nara Club 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fukushima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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