Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
9%
4.66
X/2
10%
6.37
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
20%
5.2
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.28/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.87
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.2 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
238 Passes 232
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.04.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.45 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
260 Passes 171
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka edged past Kyoto Sanga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 58% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 42%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.45 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.33 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 34%, draw 31%, Avispa Fukuoka 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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